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DATA DRIVEN METHODOLOGY FOR MODEL SELECTION IN FLOW PATTERN PREDICTION

J. HERNANDEZ, C. VALENCIA, N. RATKOVICH, C. TORRES, F. MUÑOZ

HELIYON, 2019

Abstract

The determination of multiphase flow parameters such as flow pattern, pressure drop and liquid holdup, is a very challenging and valuable problem in chemical, oil and gas industries, especially during transportation. There are two main approaches to solve this problem in literature: data based algorithms and mechanistic models. Although data based methods may achieve better prediction accuracy, they fail to explain the two-phase characteristics (i.e. pressure gradient, holdup, gas and liquid local velocities, etc.). Recently, many approaches have been made for establishing a unified mechanistic model for steady-state two-phase flow to predict accurately the mentioned properties. This paper proposes a novel data-driven methodology for selecting closure relationships from the models included in the unified model. A decision tree based model is built based on a data driven methodology developed from a 27670 points data set and later tested for flow pattern prediction in a set made of 9224 observations. The closure relationship selection model achieved high accuracy in classifying flow regimes for a wide range of two-phase flow conditions. Intermittent flow registering the highest accuracy (86.32%) and annular flow the lowest (49.11%). The results show that less than 10% of global accuracy is lost compared to direct data based algorithms, which is explained by the worse performance presented for atypical values and zones close to boundaries between flow patterns.